Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3384 · MRY → SAN
departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 7:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 14%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from MRY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.