Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 3433 · BLI → SEA
departs 7:13 PM PT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLI
↓
7pm departures from BLI are usually not late
Weather at each end
BLI (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.