Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3433 · SEA → BLI
departs 5:40 PM PT · arrives 6:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into BLI at that hour are usually not late
↓
BLI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
BLI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.