Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3435 · RDM → SEA
departs 6:05 PM PT · arrives 7:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from RDM are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RDM (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.