Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3669
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3669 · AUS → DEN
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29 38%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 3.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.