Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3707
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3707 · SFO → SEA
departs 5:29 PM PT · arrives 7:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 42%
Tue 11/3 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.