Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3730
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3730 · LAX → SJC
departs 12:58 PM PT · arrives 2:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.09 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.