Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3772
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3772 · AUS → JAX
departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 4:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Arrivals into JAX at that hour are often late
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at JAX that day
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.03 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.