Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3794
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3794 · GEG → LAX
departs 4:21 PM PT · arrives 7:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.