Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3795 · FAY → ATL
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave FAY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAY
Weather at each end
FAY (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.