Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3855
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 3855 · SEA → EUG
departs 10:35 PM PT · arrives 11:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 19%
Wed 11/4 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
10pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
EUG (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.