Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3878
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3878 · AGS → ATL
departs 4:01 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AGS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
AGS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AGS
Weather at each end
AGS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.