Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 3887 · YVR → SEA
departs 7:39 PM PDT · arrives 8:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.