Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 3893 · SEA → YVR
departs 10:09 PM PT · arrives 11:17 PM PDT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.