Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3894
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3894 · PHX → LAX
departs 4:02 PM MT · arrives 5:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±11 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.59 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.