Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3910
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3910 · TUS → LAX
departs 4:47 PM MT · arrives 6:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±7 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
TUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.