Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3934
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3934 · DTW → CMH
departs 5:41 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.