Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3963 · LAX → SAN
departs 2:14 PM PT · arrives 3:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.