Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4067
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 4067 · AUS → MFE
departs 10:39 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MFE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFE
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.14 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.