Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4145 · SEA → GEG
departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 3:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
GEG (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.