OO 4732 · SAF → DEN

took off 11:37 AM MT · landed 12:30 PM MT (scheduled 10:28 AM MT → 11:56 AM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SAF that day

↓ 10am departures from SAF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4732 · SAF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?