Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4732
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4732 · SGF → ORD
departs 6:24 PM CT · arrives 8:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29 36%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.