OO 4773 · CVG → ORD

departs 8:52 AM ET · arrives 9:24 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4773 · CVG → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?