Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4792
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4792 · MLI → ORD
departs 2:33 PM CT · arrives 3:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.