Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4913
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4913 · PHX → ABQ
departs 4:11 PM MT · arrives 6:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±9 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.59 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.