Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4922
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4922 · PHX → PSP
departs 8:23 PM MT · arrives 9:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSP?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
PSP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.