Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4923 · IAH → LAX
departs 3:28 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.