Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4931
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4931 · FLG → PHX
departs 6:18 PM MT · arrives 7:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLG
↓
FLG is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.