Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4931
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4931 · PHX → FLG
departs 4:52 PM MT · arrives 5:47 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at FLG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to FLG?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLG
↓
FLG usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
FLG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.