Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4960
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4960 · ORD → ALB
departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.