Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4984 · MKE → ORD
departs 11:41 AM CT · arrives 12:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.