Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4988
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4988 · SEA → LAX
departs 1:47 PM PT · arrives 4:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.