Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5001 · ICT → ORD
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 8:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 39%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±7 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.50 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.