Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5002 · OKC → PHX
departs 6:33 PM CT · arrives 7:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±10 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.47 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.