Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5034 · DEN → FMN
departs 8:24 PM MT · arrives 9:46 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at FMN more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FMN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at FMN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to FMN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
FMN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FMN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.