Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5057
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5057 · DEN → ROW
departs 4:08 PM MT · arrives 5:54 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ROW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
ROW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ROW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.