Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5073 · IAH → VCT
departs 3:47 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at VCT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VCT?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at VCT that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
VCT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VCT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.