Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5095
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5095 · ORD → SLN
departs 9:33 PM CT · arrives 11:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SLN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
SLN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.