Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5114
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5114 · DEN → LBL
departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 6:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LBL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LBL that day
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
LBL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LBL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.