Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5124
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5124 · ORD → EAU
departs 9:55 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at EAU more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EAU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at EAU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EAU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EAU
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EAU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.