Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5135
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5135 · MCW → ORD
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 8:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MCW is quiet at that time
↓
MCW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,133 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.