Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5272
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5272 · BUR → SFO
departs 9:18 PM PT · arrives 10:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.