OO 5344 · ORD → GEG

took off 9:04 AM CT · expected to land 10:55 AM PT (scheduled 8:40 AM CT → 10:45 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GEG?

LIVE

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5344 · ORD → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?