Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5349
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5349 · FAT → SFO
departs 6:03 PM PT · arrives 7:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 3,900 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.