OO 5417 · FAT → SFO

departs 8:16 AM PT · arrives 9:24 AM PT

Your aircraft is N976SW (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5271 from SFO: landed 9:42 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5417 · FAT → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?