Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5535
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5535 · DEN → MSO
departs 2:12 PM MT · arrives 4:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSO?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSO (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,767 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.