Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5577 · GPI → SFO
departs 5:24 PM -05 · arrives 6:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave GPI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
GPI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.