Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5612 · LAS → LAX
departs 6:44 PM PT · arrives 8:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±9 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.