OO 5628 · IAH → PSP

took off 9:52 AM CT · expected to land 10:37 AM PT (scheduled 9:40 AM CT → 11:04 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PSP?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PSP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5628 · IAH → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?