Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5630
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5630 · ICT → DEN
departs 6:38 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 10/30
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±9 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.50 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.